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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KR Reykjavik v Stjarnan: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
5–0
FT
KR Reykjavik 64%Draw 17%Stjarnan 19% Expected goals 3.34 – 1.88
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗75% · @1.17
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 15.83

KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stjarnan travel to face KR Reykjavik on Sunday 19 July in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, KR Reykjavik are 2nd on 56 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

KR Reykjavik, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over IBV Vestmannaeyjar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Stjarnan, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vikingur Gota, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Stjarnan 2–1 KR Reykjavik. The last 2 head-to-heads: KR Reykjavik 1 win, Stjarnan 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KR Reykjavik 3.3 xG, Stjarnan 1.9 xG – a total near 5.2. That is an open game on paper: 89% for three or more goals, 75% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KR Reykjavik 64%, draw 17%, Stjarnan 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: KR Reykjavik 3–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KR Reykjavik64%fair 1.57 · @1.53
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @4.80
Stjarnan19%fair 5.17 · @4.20
5.22Expected goals
3.34KR Reykjavik xG
1.88Stjarnan xG
75%Both score
89%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–16%
3–26%
2–16%
2–25%
4–15%
4–25%

From our goals model: KR Reykjavik 3.3 – 1.9 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKR Reykjavik to win ✓64%1.571.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗75%1.331.17
Draw no betKR Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapKR Reykjavik -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓56%1.771.77
First team to scoreKR Reykjavik to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultKR Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6%15.83–

Recent results

KR Reykjavik – last 6

WDLWLW
12 Julvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar5–2W
2 Jul@ Thor Akureyri3–3D
28 Jun@ Keflavik2–3L
22 Junvs IA Akranes5–3W
16 Jun@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
31 Mayvs KA Akureyri5–3W
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

DWDWLD
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
9 Julvs Vikingur Gota3–1W
3 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur2–2D
28 Junvs KA Akureyri3–1W
21 Jun@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–2L
16 Junvs Breidablik4–4D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Stjarnan v KR Reykjavik2–1
8 May 2026Stjarnan v KR Reykjavik2–3
KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers KR Reykjavik have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stjarnan 19%.

How many goals will there be in KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 5.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is KR Reykjavik 3–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.2 goals in total.

When is KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

KR Reykjavik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.