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KR Reykjavik v Valur Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
3–1
FT
KR Reykjavik 65%Draw 17%Valur Reykjavik 17% Expected goals 3.51 – 1.84
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceKR Reykjavik or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.25
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓70% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓6% · fair 15.90

KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 26 May the Úrvalsdeild brings KR Reykjavik against Valur Reykjavik. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, KR Reykjavik are 2nd on 56 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

KR Reykjavik, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to Breidablik, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over KA Akureyri, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Valur Reykjavik, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for KR Reykjavik.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended KR Reykjavik 4–2 Valur Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KR Reykjavik 3.5 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.8 xG – a total near 5.4. That is an open game on paper: 90% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KR Reykjavik 65%, draw 17%, Valur Reykjavik 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: KR Reykjavik or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: KR Reykjavik 3–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KR Reykjavik65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @4.60
Valur Reykjavik17%fair 5.79 · @4.33
5.35Expected goals
3.51KR Reykjavik xG
1.84Valur Reykjavik xG
73%Both score
90%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–16%
3–26%
4–16%
2–15%
4–25%
2–25%

From our goals model: KR Reykjavik 3.5 – 1.8 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKR Reykjavik to win ✓65%1.531.53
Double chanceKR Reykjavik or draw ✓83%1.211.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓73%1.361.25
Draw no betKR Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapKR Reykjavik -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.53 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗53%1.902.15 ▲
First team to scoreKR Reykjavik to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultKR Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✓54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik ✓48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓6%15.90–

Recent results

KR Reykjavik – last 6

LDLWWW
22 May@ Breidablik3–6L
17 Mayvs Fram Reykjavik2–2D
13 May@ Stjarnan1–2L
8 May@ Stjarnan3–2W
27 Aprvs FH hafnarfjordur4–2W
23 Apr@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar6–2W
3.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

WWLWWW
22 May@ KA Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Breidablik3–2W
8 May@ Fram Reykjavik2–3L
27 Apr@ Stjarnan4–2W
23 Aprvs FH hafnarfjordur3–0W
17 Aprvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026KR Reykjavik v Valur Reykjavik4–2
KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers KR Reykjavik have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Valur Reykjavik 17%.

How many goals will there be in KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 5.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 90% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is KR Reykjavik 3–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.4 goals in total.

When is KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

KR Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.