IA Akranes vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Úrvalsdeild brings IA Akranes against Stjarnan. Kick-off: 20:15 WAT. In the table, IA Akranes are 4th on 38 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34.
Current form
IA Akranes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Keflavik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Stjarnan, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ilves, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stjarnan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for IA Akranes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IA Akranes 2.2 xG, Stjarnan 1.8 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IA Akranes 44%, draw 20%, Stjarnan 36%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: IA Akranes 2–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IA Akranes44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Stjarnan36%fair 2.81 · @2.50
4.00Expected goals
2.20IA Akranes xG
1.80Stjarnan xG
73%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.2 – 1.8 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IA Akranes to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Draw no bet
IA Akranes (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Stjarnan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
First team to score
IA Akranes to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
IA Akranes ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
IA Akranes – last 6
LLLLLW
20 Jul
@ Keflavik
2–5
L
12 Jul
@ KA Akureyri
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Breidablik
1–2
L
29 Jun
vs Fram Reykjavik
0–2
L
22 Jun
@ KR Reykjavik
3–5
L
16 Jun
vs Valur Reykjavik
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stjarnan – last 6
WLDWDW
23 Jul
vs Ilves
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ KR Reykjavik
0–5
L
16 Jul
@ Vikingur Gota
2–2
D
9 Jul
vs Vikingur Gota
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–2
D
28 Jun
vs KA Akureyri
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IA Akranes and Stjarnan.
What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers IA Akranes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stjarnan 36%.
How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
IA Akranes vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
