KA Akureyri 57%Draw 22%Thor Akureyri 22%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.33
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultKA Akureyri to win ✗57% · @1.65
Double chanceKA Akureyri or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thor Akureyri travel to face KA Akureyri on Monday 27 July in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, KA Akureyri are 5th on 29 points after 27 matches; Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
KA Akureyri, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with IBV Vestmannaeyjar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Thor Akureyri, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vikingur Reykjavik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KA Akureyri 2.2 xG, Thor Akureyri 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KA Akureyri 57%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 22%.
Lower-risk option: KA Akureyri or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KA Akureyri57%fair 1.76 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.10
Thor Akureyri22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
3.51Expected goals
2.18KA Akureyri xG
1.33Thor Akureyri xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: KA Akureyri 2.2 – 1.3 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KA Akureyri to win✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Double chance
KA Akureyri or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
KA Akureyri (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Thor Akureyri +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
First team to score
KA Akureyri to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
KA Akureyri ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KA Akureyri / FT KA Akureyri✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
KA Akureyri – last 6
DWLLLL
19 Jul
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IA Akranes
3–2
W
2 Jul
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
28 Jun
@ Stjarnan
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Breidablik
1–3
L
15 Jun
vs Fram Reykjavik
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Thor Akureyri – last 6
WLDLDL
18 Jul
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–6
L
2 Jul
vs KR Reykjavik
3–3
D
28 Jun
vs Valur Reykjavik
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ FH hafnarfjordur
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KA Akureyri and Thor Akureyri.
What is the prediction for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers KA Akureyri have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Thor Akureyri 22%.
How many goals will there be in KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is KA Akureyri 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri?
KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
