Keflavik vs KA Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Keflavik welcome KA Akureyri for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Wednesday 5 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; KA Akureyri are 5th with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Keflavik, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Vikingur Reykjavik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
KA Akureyri, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Thor Akureyri, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 2.0 xG, KA Akureyri 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 45%, draw 22%, KA Akureyri 34%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 2–1 KA Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keflavik45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.85
KA Akureyri34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
3.65Expected goals
1.96Keflavik xG
1.69KA Akureyri xG
71%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Keflavik 2.0 – 1.7 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keflavik to win✓
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.42
1.28
Draw no bet
Keflavik (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
KA Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
First team to score
Keflavik to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Keflavik ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keflavik / FT Keflavik✓
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Keflavik – last 6
LWLDWD
24 Jul
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
1–5
L
20 Jul
vs IA Akranes
5–2
W
13 Jul
@ Breidablik
1–2
L
6 Jul
vs Fram Reykjavik
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs KR Reykjavik
3–2
W
21 Jun
@ Valur Reykjavik
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
KA Akureyri – last 6
DDWLLL
27 Jul
vs Thor Akureyri
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs IA Akranes
3–2
W
2 Jul
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
28 Jun
@ Stjarnan
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Breidablik
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and KA Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and KA Akureyri 34%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?
Keflavik vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
