Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Thor Akureyri v Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild, played at Thorsvollur. In the table, Thor Akureyri are 4th on 30 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Thor Akureyri, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to IA Akranes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Keflavik, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stjarnan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Keflavik 1–0 Thor Akureyri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thor Akureyri 1.6 xG, Keflavik 2.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thor Akureyri 33%, draw 19%, Keflavik 48%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thor Akureyri33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Keflavik48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
3.57Expected goals
1.60Thor Akureyri xG
1.97Keflavik xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 2.0 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Keflavik 48%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
