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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valur Reykjavik v KA Akureyri: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
4–4
FT
Valur Reykjavik 45%Draw 19%KA Akureyri 35% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.66
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Monday 17 August: Valur Reykjavik v KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Valur Reykjavik are 2nd on 34 points after 27 matches; KA Akureyri are 5th with 29.

Current form

Valur Reykjavik, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC Nordsjaelland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

KA Akureyri, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended KA Akureyri 0–1 Valur Reykjavik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valur Reykjavik 1.9 xG, KA Akureyri 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valur Reykjavik 45%, draw 19%, KA Akureyri 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valur Reykjavik 2–1 KA Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valur Reykjavik45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.85
KA Akureyri35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
3.57Expected goals
1.91Valur Reykjavik xG
1.66KA Akureyri xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 1.9 – 1.7 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValur Reykjavik to win ✗45%2.212.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.28
Draw no betValur Reykjavik (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapKA Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.441.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.991.93
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.40
First team to scoreValur Reykjavik to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valur Reykjavik / FT Valur Reykjavik ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

LWLLDW
13 Aug@ FC Nordsjaelland0–5L
9 Aug@ Breidablik3–1W
6 Augvs FC Nordsjaelland0–2L
3 Augvs Stjarnan2–3L
30 Jul@ Zrinjski2–2D
23 Julvs Zrinjski1–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

KA Akureyri – last 6

LLDDWL
9 Augvs FH hafnarfjordur0–1L
5 Aug@ Keflavik0–3L
27 Julvs Thor Akureyri0–0D
19 Jul@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar2–2D
12 Julvs IA Akranes3–2W
2 Jul@ Vikingur Reykjavik2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026KA Akureyri v Valur Reykjavik0–1
Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and KA Akureyri 35%.

How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.