Value bet: Breidablik to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBreidablik to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Breidablik vs Stjarnan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Monday 31 August: Breidablik v Stjarnan in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Breidablik are 5th on 36 points after 27 matches; Stjarnan are 1st with 34. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Breidablik, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Fram Reykjavik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Stjarnan, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Thor Akureyri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stjarnan, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Breidablik.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Stjarnan 4–4 Breidablik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Breidablik 2.5 xG, Stjarnan 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Breidablik 60%, draw 19%, Stjarnan 21%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Breidablik to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Breidablik 2–1 Stjarnan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Breidablik60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.10
Stjarnan21%fair 4.68 · @3.10
3.97Expected goals
2.50Breidablik xG
1.47Stjarnan xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Breidablik 2.5 – 1.5 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers Breidablik have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stjarnan 21%.
How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Breidablik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
