Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valur Reykjavik travel to face Keflavik on Saturday 5 September in the Úrvalsdeild – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34.
Current form
Keflavik, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with IA Akranes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Keflavik, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Valur Reykjavik.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Valur Reykjavik 1–1 Keflavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.9 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 47%, draw 20%, Valur Reykjavik 33%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Keflavik47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Valur Reykjavik33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
3.55Expected goals
1.94Keflavik xG
1.61Valur Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.9 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 33%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?
Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
