Value bet: Penybont to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓39% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penybont travel to face Colwyn Bay on Saturday 21 February in the Premier League, with Llanelian Road the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Colwyn Bay are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Penybont are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colwyn Bay 1.3 xG, Penybont 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colwyn Bay 39%, draw 26%, Penybont 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colwyn Bay 1–1 Penybont. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colwyn Bay39%fair 2.54 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Penybont35%fair 2.85 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.27Colwyn Bay xG
1.33Penybont xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 1.3 – 1.3 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
39%
2.54
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Colwyn Bay (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Penybont to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Colwyn Bay – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Penybont
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Penybont 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 1–1 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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