Caernarfon Town 47%Draw 23%Colwyn Bay 29%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.28
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the Premier League brings Caernarfon Town against Colwyn Bay at The Oval. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Caernarfon Town are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caernarfon Town 1.8 xG, Colwyn Bay 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caernarfon Town 47%, draw 23%, Colwyn Bay 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Colwyn Bay29%fair 3.41 · @3.25
3.05Expected goals
1.76Caernarfon Town xG
1.28Colwyn Bay xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.8 – 1.3 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
47%
2.11
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Caernarfon Town (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
First team to score
Caernarfon Town to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Caernarfon Town – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Penybont
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colwyn Bay 29%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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