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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

GAP Connah S Quay FC v The New Saints: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Essity Stadium
GAP Connah S Quay FC 20%Draw 27%The New Saints 54% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.61
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✓54% · @1.60
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.50

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 March the Premier League brings GAP Connah S Quay FC against The New Saints at Essity Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; The New Saints are 1st (leading the league) with 44.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.0 xG, The New Saints 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 20%, draw 27%, The New Saints 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 The New Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

GAP Connah S Quay FC20%fair 5.03 · @4.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.70
The New Saints54%fair 1.87 · @1.60
2.65Expected goals
1.04GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.61The New Saints xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.0 – 1.6 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✓54%1.871.60
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapGAP Connah S Quay FC +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.50–

Recent results

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 1

L
21 Feb@ Barry Town0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

The New Saints – last 2

WW
20 Febvs Caernarfon Town2–1W
13 Feb@ Colwyn Bay2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and The New Saints.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?

On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and The New Saints 54%.

How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?

Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints?

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.