Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 13 March: Caernarfon Town v GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League, played at The Oval. In the table, Caernarfon Town are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Caernarfon Town, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rhyl, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caernarfon Town 1.4 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caernarfon Town 38%, draw 24%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caernarfon Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town38%fair 2.66 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.45
GAP Connah S Quay FC38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.94Expected goals
1.39Caernarfon Town xG
1.55GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.4 – 1.5 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
38%
2.63
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Caernarfon Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Caernarfon Town – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
@ Rhyl
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Colwyn Bay
3–0
W
20 Feb
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs The New Saints
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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