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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

The New Saints v Colwyn Bay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Park Hall
0–2
FT
The New Saints 72%Draw 19%Colwyn Bay 9% Expected goals 2.35 – 0.72
72%
Betarazi pick

The New Saints to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win ✗72% · @1.22
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.97

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Colwyn Bay travel to face The New Saints on Friday 20 March in the Premier League, with Park Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

The New Saints, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over GAP Connah S Quay FC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Colwyn Bay, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Caernarfon Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Colwyn Bay.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 0–2 The New Saints.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.4 xG, Colwyn Bay 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 72%, draw 19%, Colwyn Bay 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was The New Saints to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

The New Saints72%fair 1.39 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.50
Colwyn Bay9%fair 10.61 · @9.00
3.07Expected goals
2.35The New Saints xG
0.72Colwyn Bay xG
48%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: The New Saints 2.4 – 0.7 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✗72%1.391.22
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✗91%1.101.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet) ✗88%1.13–
Asian handicapThe New Saints -1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.711.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first ✗73%1.37–
Half-time resultThe New Saints ahead at half-time ✗54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.97–

Recent results

The New Saints – last 3

WWW
3 Mar@ GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1W
20 Febvs Caernarfon Town2–1W
13 Feb@ Colwyn Bay2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Colwyn Bay – last 3

LWL
27 Feb@ Caernarfon Town0–3L
21 Febvs Penybont3–1W
13 Febvs The New Saints0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Colwyn Bay v The New Saints0–2
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Colwyn Bay 9%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.