Penybont 43%Draw 25%Colwyn Bay 32%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Penybont to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.71
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penybont welcome Colwyn Bay to Bryntirion Park for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 28 March (15:30 WAT). In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Colwyn Bay, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over The New Saints, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Colwyn Bay 3–1 Penybont.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.6 xG, Colwyn Bay 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 43%, draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont43%fair 2.35 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Colwyn Bay32%fair 3.12 · @2.55
2.68Expected goals
1.56Penybont xG
1.12Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.6 – 1.1 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Penybont have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colwyn Bay 32%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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