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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

GAP Connah S Quay FC v Barry Town: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Essity Stadium
GAP Connah S Quay FC 61%Draw 23%Barry Town 16% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.87
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barry Town travel to face GAP Connah S Quay FC on Sunday 29 March in the Premier League, with Essity Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Barry Town are 7th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Caernarfon Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Barry Town 1–0 GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.0 xG, Barry Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 61%, draw 23%, Barry Town 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Barry Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

GAP Connah S Quay FC61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Barry Town16%fair 6.39 · @4.33
2.84Expected goals
1.97GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
0.87Barry Town xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.0 – 0.9 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✗61%1.631.70
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.70
Draw no betGAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapGAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreGAP Connah S Quay FC to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultGAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 3

WLL
13 Mar@ Caernarfon Town4–2W
3 Marvs The New Saints1–2L
21 Feb@ Barry Town0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Barry Town – last 2

WW
3 Marvs Penybont1–0W
21 Febvs GAP Connah S Quay FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Barry Town v GAP Connah S Quay FC1–0
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town?

On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Barry Town 16%.

How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town?

Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town?

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.