Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Faisaly to win ✓60% · @1.30
Double chanceAl Faisaly or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Faisaly travel to face Al Buqa'a on Friday 20 February in the League – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Al Buqa'a are 5th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Al Faisaly are 1st (leading the league) with 15.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Buqa'a 1.1 xG, Al Faisaly 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Buqa'a 17%, draw 23%, Al Faisaly 60%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Buqa'a 1–1 Al Faisaly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Buqa'a17%fair 5.90 · @7.75
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.75
Al Faisaly60%fair 1.67 · @1.30
2.93Expected goals
1.08Al Buqa'a xG
1.85Al Faisaly xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Al Buqa'a 1.1 – 1.8 Al Faisaly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Faisaly to win✓
60%
1.67
1.30
Double chance
Al Faisaly or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Faisaly (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Al Buqa'a +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Al Faisaly to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Al Faisaly ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Faisaly / FT Al Faisaly✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Al Buqa'a
No recent results on record.
Al Faisaly
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Buqa'a and Al Faisaly.
What is the prediction for Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
On our numbers Al Buqa'a have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Faisaly 60%.
How many goals will there be in Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Our predicted score is Al Buqa'a 1–1 Al Faisaly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly (League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sama Al Sarhan0