Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultGagra to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Gagra vs Spaeri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 March: Gagra v Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga, played at David Petriashvili Stadium. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Spaeri are 8th (in the drop zone) with 31. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.3 xG, Spaeri 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 41%, draw 26%, Spaeri 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–1 Spaeri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Spaeri33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.34Gagra xG
1.19Spaeri xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.3 – 1.2 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gagra to win✗
41%
2.43
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Gagra (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Spaeri +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Gagra to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gagra / FT Gagra✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Gagra – last 2
LD
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bunyodkor
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Spaeri – last 2
WW
17 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
4–3
W
17 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
3–1
W
3.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Spaeri.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Gagra vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Gagra have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spaeri 33%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Spaeri?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Gagra 1–1 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Spaeri?
Gagra vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
