Value bet: Dinamo Batumi to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSamgurali to win ✗41% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.70
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 March the Erovnuli Liga brings Samgurali against Dinamo Batumi at 26 May Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Dinamo Batumi are 1st (leading the league) with 59. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.0 xG, Dinamo Batumi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 41%, draw 25%, Dinamo Batumi 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Batumi to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali41%fair 2.46 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Dinamo Batumi35%fair 2.89 · @3.30
2.20Expected goals
1.02Samgurali xG
1.18Dinamo Batumi xG
56%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.0 – 1.2 Dinamo Batumi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samgurali to win✗
41%
2.46
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Draw no bet
Samgurali (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Samgurali +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Dinamo Batumi to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Batumi / FT Dinamo Batumi✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.70
–
Recent results
Samgurali – last 2
DW
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Gagra
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dinamo Batumi – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Oleksandria
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samgurali and Dinamo Batumi.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dinamo Batumi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
