Spaeri vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samgurali travel to face Spaeri on Monday 16 March in the Erovnuli Liga, with Spaeri Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spaeri are 8th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39.
Current form
Spaeri, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gagra, away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Samgurali, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Batumi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spaeri, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Samgurali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spaeri 1.4 xG, Samgurali 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spaeri 42%, draw 24%, Samgurali 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spaeri 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spaeri42%fair 2.38 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
Samgurali34%fair 2.98 · @2.60
2.64Expected goals
1.45Spaeri xG
1.20Samgurali xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.4 – 1.2 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spaeri to win✓
42%
2.38
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Spaeri (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Samgurali +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Spaeri to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spaeri / FT Spaeri✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Spaeri – last 3
WWW
11 Mar
@ Gagra
3–0
W
17 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
4–3
W
17 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
3–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 3
DDW
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Gagra
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spaeri and Samgurali.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Spaeri vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samgurali 34%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Spaeri vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
