Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Saburtalo vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 7 April the Erovnuli Liga brings Saburtalo against Samgurali at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Saburtalo are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Saburtalo, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gagra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Samgurali, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rustavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo 1.6 xG, Samgurali 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo 58%, draw 24%, Samgurali 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saburtalo to win (58%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo 1–0 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saburtalo58%fair 1.73 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Samgurali18%fair 5.41 · @5.00
2.39Expected goals
1.58Saburtalo xG
0.81Samgurali xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.6 – 0.8 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo to win✓
58%
1.73
1.55
Double chance
Saburtalo or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Saburtalo (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Samgurali +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Saburtalo to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo / FT Saburtalo✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Recent results
Saburtalo – last 4
WDLW
3 Apr
@ Gagra
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dila
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 5
WLDDW
3 Apr
vs Rustavi
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Spaeri
1–4
L
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Gagra
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo and Samgurali.
What is the prediction for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Saburtalo to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samgurali 18%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Samgurali?
Saburtalo vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
