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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gagra v Torpedo Kutaisi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium

Gagra

DLWLL
2–2
FT
Gagra 27%Draw 24%Torpedo Kutaisi 48% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.44
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✗48% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86

Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 17 April the Erovnuli Liga brings Gagra against Torpedo Kutaisi at David Petriashvili Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th (upper half) with 43. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gagra, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dila, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Torpedo Kutaisi, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo Tbilisi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Torpedo Kutaisi, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Gagra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.1 xG, Torpedo Kutaisi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 27%, draw 24%, Torpedo Kutaisi 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gagra27%fair 3.68 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Torpedo Kutaisi48%fair 2.06 · @1.95
2.55Expected goals
1.11Gagra xG
1.44Torpedo Kutaisi xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Gagra 1.1 – 1.4 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✗48%2.061.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betTorpedo Kutaisi (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapGagra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreTorpedo Kutaisi to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.86–

Recent results

Gagra – last 6

DLWLLD
7 Apr@ Dila1–1D
3 Aprvs Saburtalo1–2L
15 Mar@ Rustavi2–1W
11 Marvs Spaeri0–3L
2 Marvs Samgurali0–1L
17 Feb@ Bunyodkor1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Torpedo Kutaisi – last 5

DWLWW
7 Aprvs Dinamo Tbilisi0–0D
3 Aprvs Meshakhte3–0W
16 Mar@ Dila0–1L
11 Marvs Saburtalo1–0W
18 Feb@ Ayia Napa3–1W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi.

Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

On our numbers Gagra have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torpedo Kutaisi 48%.

How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Our predicted score is Gagra 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.