Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRustavi to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.63
Meshakhte vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rustavi travel to face Meshakhte on Wednesday 22 April in the Erovnuli Liga, with Agrano Vachadze Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Meshakhte are 10th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 32 matches; Rustavi are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Meshakhte, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Tbilisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rustavi, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dinamo Batumi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Meshakhte 0.8 xG, Rustavi 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Meshakhte 32%, draw 28%, Rustavi 39%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Rustavi to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Meshakhte 1–1 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Meshakhte32%fair 3.09 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
Rustavi39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
1.95Expected goals
0.84Meshakhte xG
1.11Rustavi xG
51%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Meshakhte 0.8 – 1.1 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rustavi to win✗
39%
2.54
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Rustavi (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Meshakhte +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Rustavi to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
Meshakhte – last 6
DDLDWD
17 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Dila
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rustavi – last 5
WLLDL
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Batumi
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Samgurali
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Gagra
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
17 Feb
vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Meshakhte and Rustavi.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Meshakhte have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rustavi 39%.
How many goals will there be in Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Meshakhte 1–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Meshakhte vs Rustavi?
Meshakhte vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
