Gagra vs Meshakhte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Erovnuli Liga brings Gagra against Meshakhte at David Petriashvili Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Meshakhte are 10th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Gagra, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Tbilisi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Meshakhte, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rustavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.3 xG, Meshakhte 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 52%, draw 26%, Meshakhte 22%.
Lower-risk option: Gagra or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–1 Meshakhte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra52%fair 1.93 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Meshakhte22%fair 4.62 · @4.33
2.04Expected goals
1.27Gagra xG
0.77Meshakhte xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.3 – 0.8 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gagra to win✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Double chance
Gagra or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Gagra (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Meshakhte +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gagra to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gagra / FT Gagra✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Gagra – last 6
WDDLWL
21 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Dila
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Saburtalo
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Meshakhte – last 6
DDDLDW
22 Apr
vs Rustavi
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Dila
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Meshakhte.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gagra vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Gagra have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Meshakhte 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Gagra 1–1 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Gagra vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
