Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSamgurali to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Samgurali vs Spaeri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Samgurali v Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga, played at 26 May Stadium. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Spaeri are 8th (in the drop zone) with 31.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Meshakhte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Spaeri, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gagra, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Spaeri 4–1 Samgurali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.6 xG, Spaeri 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 41%, draw 25%, Spaeri 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 1–1 Spaeri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Spaeri34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
2.97Expected goals
1.56Samgurali xG
1.41Spaeri xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.6 – 1.4 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spaeri 34%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Spaeri?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Samgurali vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
