Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSaburtalo to win ✓59% · @1.50
Double chanceSaburtalo or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Saburtalo vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gagra travel to face Saburtalo on Wednesday 20 May in the Erovnuli Liga, with Mikheil Meskhi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Saburtalo are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Saburtalo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dila, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gagra, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Spaeri, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Saburtalo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Gagra.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Gagra 1–2 Saburtalo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo 1.6 xG, Gagra 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo 59%, draw 26%, Gagra 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saburtalo to win (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo 1–0 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saburtalo59%fair 1.70 · @1.50
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
Gagra15%fair 6.48 · @6.00
2.31Expected goals
1.56Saburtalo xG
0.75Gagra xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.6 – 0.8 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Saburtalo to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Gagra?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gagra 15%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
