Rustavi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samgurali travel to face Rustavi on Thursday 21 May in the Erovnuli Liga, with David Petriashvili Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Rustavi are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rustavi, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Samgurali, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spaeri, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Samgurali 2–1 Rustavi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rustavi 1.5 xG, Samgurali 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rustavi 48%, draw 26%, Samgurali 26%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rustavi 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rustavi48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Samgurali26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
2.45Expected goals
1.52Rustavi xG
0.93Samgurali xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.5 – 0.9 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Samgurali 26%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
