Samgurali vs Saburtalo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samgurali welcome Saburtalo to 26 May Stadium for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Monday 25 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Saburtalo are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rustavi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Saburtalo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gagra, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Saburtalo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Samgurali.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Saburtalo 2–1 Samgurali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.1 xG, Saburtalo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 28%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 1–1 Saburtalo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali28%fair 3.62 · @3.50
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.90
Saburtalo45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
2.45Expected goals
1.07Samgurali xG
1.38Saburtalo xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.1 – 1.4 Saburtalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Saburtalo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Saburtalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Samgurali vs Saburtalo (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
