Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dinamo Tbilisi welcome Samgurali to Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Thursday 18 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dinamo Tbilisi, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gagra, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Samgurali, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torpedo Kutaisi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Tbilisi 1.8 xG, Samgurali 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Tbilisi 58%, draw 24%, Samgurali 18%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Tbilisi58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Samgurali18%fair 5.42 · @4.33
2.73Expected goals
1.83Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.90Samgurali xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.8 – 0.9 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Tbilisi to win✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Double chance
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Dinamo Tbilisi (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Samgurali +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Dinamo Tbilisi to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Dinamo Tbilisi ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
LWLDWW
14 Jun
@ Gagra
1–2
L
30 May
@ Meshakhte
6–1
W
24 May
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
20 May
@ Dila
0–0
D
11 May
@ Rustavi
3–2
W
7 May
vs Spaeri
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 6
WWLDWL
13 Jun
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–1
W
25 May
vs Saburtalo
3–2
W
21 May
@ Rustavi
0–1
L
17 May
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
6 May
vs Meshakhte
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
1–6
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samgurali 18%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
