Saburtalo vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rustavi travel to face Saburtalo on Wednesday 17 June in the Erovnuli Liga, with Mikheil Meskhi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Saburtalo are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 32 matches; Rustavi are 4th (among the top four) with 56. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Saburtalo, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spaeri, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rustavi, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Meshakhte, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saburtalo 1.2 xG, Rustavi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saburtalo 49%, draw 28%, Rustavi 23%.
Lower-risk option: Saburtalo or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saburtalo or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saburtalo 1–0 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saburtalo49%fair 2.06 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.90
Rustavi23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
2.08Expected goals
1.21Saburtalo xG
0.87Rustavi xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.2 – 0.9 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saburtalo to win✗
49%
2.06
1.85
Double chance
Saburtalo or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Saburtalo (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Rustavi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Saburtalo to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saburtalo / FT Saburtalo✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Saburtalo – last 6
DWLWWW
12 Jun
vs Spaeri
1–1
D
29 May
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–0
W
25 May
@ Samgurali
2–3
L
20 May
vs Gagra
1–0
W
6 May
@ Dila
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Spaeri
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rustavi – last 6
WWLWLD
13 Jun
vs Meshakhte
1–0
W
29 May
vs Spaeri
2–1
W
25 May
@ Dinamo Batumi
0–1
L
21 May
vs Samgurali
1–0
W
11 May
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2–3
L
5 May
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saburtalo and Rustavi.
Our pick is Saburtalo or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rustavi 23%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–0 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Rustavi?
Saburtalo vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
