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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gagra v Samgurali: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium

Gagra

DWWWL
0–0
FT
Gagra 38%Draw 27%Samgurali 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.25
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultGagra to win ✗38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Gagra vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gagra welcome Samgurali to David Petriashvili Stadium for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Wednesday 24 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Gagra, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Meshakhte, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Samgurali, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Dinamo Tbilisi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Gagra 0–1 Samgurali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.4 xG, Samgurali 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 38%, draw 27%, Samgurali 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gagra38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
Samgurali35%fair 2.85 · @2.40
2.64Expected goals
1.38Gagra xG
1.25Samgurali xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Gagra 1.4 – 1.3 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGagra to win ✗38%2.622.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.67
Draw no betGagra (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapSamgurali +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreGagra to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gagra / FT Gagra ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Gagra – last 6

DWWWLL
18 Jun@ Meshakhte1–1D
14 Junvs Dinamo Tbilisi2–1W
28 May@ Torpedo Kutaisi2–1W
24 Mayvs Dila2–0W
20 May@ Saburtalo0–1L
11 May@ Spaeri0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Samgurali – last 6

LWWLDW
18 Jun@ Dinamo Tbilisi3–5L
13 Junvs Torpedo Kutaisi2–1W
25 Mayvs Saburtalo3–2W
21 May@ Rustavi0–1L
17 Mayvs Spaeri0–0D
6 Mayvs Meshakhte3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026Gagra v Samgurali0–1
Gagra vs Samgurali head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gagra vs Samgurali?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Gagra vs Samgurali?

On our numbers Gagra have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Samgurali 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Samgurali?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Samgurali?

Our predicted score is Gagra 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Gagra vs Samgurali?

Gagra vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.