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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Meshakhte v Samgurali: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · Agrano Vachadze Stadium
1–2
FT
Meshakhte 26%Draw 26%Samgurali 48% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.45
51%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultSamgurali to win ✓48% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.40

Meshakhte vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Erovnuli Liga brings Meshakhte against Samgurali at Agrano Vachadze Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Meshakhte are 10th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Meshakhte, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Samgurali, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Samgurali, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Meshakhte, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Samgurali, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Meshakhte.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Samgurali 0–0 Meshakhte. The last 3 head-to-heads: Meshakhte 0 wins, Samgurali 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Meshakhte 1.2 xG, Samgurali 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Meshakhte 26%, draw 26%, Samgurali 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Meshakhte 1–1 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Meshakhte26%fair 3.83 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
Samgurali48%fair 2.09 · @1.83
2.61Expected goals
1.16Meshakhte xG
1.45Samgurali xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Meshakhte 1.2 – 1.5 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamgurali to win ✓48%2.091.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betSamgurali (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapMeshakhte +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSamgurali to score first51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samgurali / FT Samgurali ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.40–

Recent results

Meshakhte – last 6

DWLLDL
1 Aug@ Samgurali0–0D
25 Jul@ Gonio2–1W
14 Julvs FC Urartu2–4L
23 Jun@ Saburtalo1–2L
18 Junvs Gagra1–1D
13 Jun@ Rustavi0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Samgurali – last 6

DDWDLW
1 Augvs Meshakhte0–0D
26 Jul@ WIT Georgia1–1D
20 Jul@ Spaeri1–0W
24 Jun@ Gagra0–0D
18 Jun@ Dinamo Tbilisi3–5L
13 Junvs Torpedo Kutaisi2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Samgurali v Meshakhte0–0
6 May 2026Samgurali v Meshakhte3–1
8 Mar 2026Meshakhte v Samgurali0–0
Meshakhte vs Samgurali head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Meshakhte vs Samgurali?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Meshakhte vs Samgurali?

On our numbers Meshakhte have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Samgurali 48%.

How many goals will there be in Meshakhte vs Samgurali?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Meshakhte vs Samgurali?

Our predicted score is Meshakhte 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Meshakhte vs Samgurali?

Meshakhte vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.