Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Samgurali to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSamgurali to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Samgurali v Dinamo Batumi in the Erovnuli Liga, played at 26 May Stadium. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Dinamo Batumi are 1st (leading the league) with 59. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Meshakhte, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dinamo Batumi, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gagra, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Dinamo Batumi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Samgurali.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.9 xG, Dinamo Batumi 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 55%, draw 24%, Dinamo Batumi 21%.
Lower-risk option: Samgurali or draw (79%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Samgurali to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Samgurali or draw (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Dinamo Batumi21%fair 4.80 · @3.20
2.96Expected goals
1.87Samgurali xG
1.09Dinamo Batumi xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.9 – 1.1 Dinamo Batumi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our pick is Samgurali or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dinamo Batumi 21%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
