Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.06
Rustavi vs Gagra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gagra travel to face Rustavi on Saturday 22 August in the Erovnuli Liga, with David Petriashvili Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Rustavi are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Gagra are 9th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rustavi, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dinamo Tbilisi, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gagra, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spaeri, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Rustavi 1–2 Gagra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rustavi 1.5 xG, Gagra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rustavi 57%, draw 24%, Gagra 19%.
Lower-risk option: Rustavi or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rustavi to win (57%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rustavi 1–0 Gagra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rustavi57%fair 1.77 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Gagra19%fair 5.20 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.48Rustavi xG
0.71Gagra xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.5 – 0.7 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rustavi to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rustavi vs Gagra?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gagra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Gagra?
Rustavi vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
