Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSamgurali to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Samgurali vs Meshakhte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Meshakhte travel to face Samgurali on Saturday 17 October in the Erovnuli Liga, with Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Meshakhte are 10th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gagra, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Meshakhte, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Iberia 1999, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Meshakhte 1–2 Samgurali. The last 4 head-to-heads: Samgurali 2 wins, Meshakhte 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.8 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 2.0 xG, Meshakhte 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 65%, draw 21%, Meshakhte 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Samgurali to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 2–0 Meshakhte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
Meshakhte14%fair 7.14 · @5.00
2.86Expected goals
2.03Samgurali xG
0.83Meshakhte xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Samgurali 2.0 – 0.8 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Our pick is Samgurali to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Meshakhte 14%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–0 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Samgurali vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
