Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRustavi to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceRustavi or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.34
Gagra vs Rustavi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Gagra v Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga, played at David Petriashvili Stadium. In the table, Gagra are 9th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 32 matches; Rustavi are 4th (among the top four) with 56. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gagra, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rustavi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rustavi, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gagra, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rustavi, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Gagra.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Oct 2026) it ended Gagra 2–1 Rustavi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Gagra 2 wins, Rustavi 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 0.7 xG, Rustavi 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 14%, draw 22%, Rustavi 64%.
Lower-risk option: Rustavi or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Rustavi to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rustavi or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 0–1 Rustavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gagra14%fair 7.18 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Rustavi64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.40Expected goals
0.66Gagra xG
1.74Rustavi xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Gagra 0.7 – 1.7 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rustavi or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gagra vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Gagra have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rustavi 64%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
