Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSamgurali to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Samgurali vs Spaeri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Erovnuli Liga brings Samgurali against Spaeri at 26 May Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Spaeri are 8th (in the drop zone) with 31.
Current form
Samgurali, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dinamo Batumi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Spaeri, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gagra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samgurali, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Spaeri.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Spaeri 3–4 Samgurali. The last 4 head-to-heads: Samgurali 2 wins, Spaeri 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 2.1 xG, Spaeri 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 60%, draw 23%, Spaeri 17%.
Lower-risk option: Samgurali or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Samgurali or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 2–1 Spaeri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samgurali60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.75
Spaeri17%fair 5.94 · @3.75
3.07Expected goals
2.05Samgurali xG
1.02Spaeri xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Samgurali 2.1 – 1.0 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Samgurali or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spaeri 17%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Spaeri?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–1 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Samgurali vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.