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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Samgurali v Spaeri: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · 26 May Stadium
0–0
FT

Spaeri

DLDLL
Samgurali 60%Draw 23%Spaeri 17% Expected goals 2.05 – 1.02
83%
Betarazi pick

Samgurali or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSamgurali to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Samgurali vs Spaeri: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 31 October the Erovnuli Liga brings Samgurali against Spaeri at 26 May Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Samgurali are 7th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Spaeri are 8th (in the drop zone) with 31.

Current form

Samgurali, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Dinamo Batumi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Spaeri, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gagra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Samgurali, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Spaeri.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Spaeri 3–4 Samgurali. The last 4 head-to-heads: Samgurali 2 wins, Spaeri 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 2.1 xG, Spaeri 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 60%, draw 23%, Spaeri 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Samgurali or draw (83%) at 1.20.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Samgurali or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 2–1 Spaeri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Samgurali60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.75
Spaeri17%fair 5.94 · @3.75
3.07Expected goals
2.05Samgurali xG
1.02Spaeri xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Samgurali 2.1 – 1.0 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamgurali to win ✗60%1.661.73
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betSamgurali (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapSamgurali -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreSamgurali to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultSamgurali ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samgurali / FT Samgurali ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Samgurali – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Dinamo Batumi0–3L
17 Octvs Meshakhte2–0W
11 Octvs Gagra3–0W
19 Sepvs Dinamo Tbilisi2–3L
14 Sep@ Torpedo Kutaisi2–3L
9 Sepvs Dila1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Spaeri – last 6

DLDLLD
23 Octvs Gagra0–0D
18 Oct@ Dinamo Tbilisi1–3L
10 Octvs Torpedo Kutaisi3–3D
21 Sepvs Dila1–4L
13 Sep@ FC Iberia 19990–1L
9 Sepvs Rustavi1–1D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Spaeri v Samgurali3–4
20 Jul 2026Spaeri v Samgurali0–1
17 May 2026Samgurali v Spaeri0–0
16 Mar 2026Spaeri v Samgurali4–1
Samgurali vs Spaeri head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi321787+1659
2FC Iberia 1999321859+1359
3Dinamo Tbilisi3216106+2058
4Rustavi321688+1256
5Torpedo Kutaisi32111011+943
6Dila3212416040
7Samgurali3211615-1439
8Spaeri3261313-1031
9Gagra3261313-1831
10Meshakhte3231118-2820

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Spaeri?

Our pick is Samgurali or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?

On our numbers Samgurali have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spaeri 17%.

How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Spaeri?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Spaeri?

Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–1 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Samgurali vs Spaeri?

Samgurali vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.