Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 1.61 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRustavi to win ✓66% · @1.61
Double chanceRustavi or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Rustavi vs Samgurali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rustavi welcome Samgurali to David Petriashvili Stadium for a Erovnuli Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Rustavi are 4th, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Samgurali are 7th (lower half) with 39. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rustavi, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gagra, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Samgurali, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Spaeri, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rustavi, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Samgurali.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Samgurali 1–1 Rustavi. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rustavi 1 win, Samgurali 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rustavi 2.0 xG, Samgurali 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rustavi 66%, draw 22%, Samgurali 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Rustavi to win @1.61 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rustavi 1–0 Samgurali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rustavi66%fair 1.51 · @1.61
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.56
Samgurali12%fair 8.65 · @4.55
2.66Expected goals
1.96Rustavi xG
0.70Samgurali xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rustavi 2.0 – 0.7 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samgurali 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
