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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam: numbers & prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%Draw 24%Ham-Kam 38% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.55
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHam-Kam to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ham-Kam travel to face Sarpsborg 08 FF on Friday 13 February in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.6 xG, Ham-Kam 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%, draw 24%, Ham-Kam 38%.
  • Price worth noting: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Ham-Kam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF38%fair 2.65 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.45
Ham-Kam38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
3.12Expected goals
1.57Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.55Ham-Kam xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.6 – 1.5 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+3%+6%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-8%
Our expected goals here1.541.46

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHam-Kam to win ✗38%2.612.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betHam-Kam (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapHam-Kam +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.26–
First team to scoreSarpsborg 08 FF to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✓23%4.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Sarpsborg 08 FF

No recent results on record.

Ham-Kam

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam.

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ham-Kam 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.