Value bet: Aberdeen to win @ 3.35 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win ✗37% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.39
Aberdeen vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell travel to face Aberdeen on Wednesday 18 February in the FA Cup, with Pittodrie Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.2 xG, Motherwell 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 37%, draw 25%, Motherwell 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Aberdeen to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–0 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen37%fair 2.70 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Motherwell37%fair 2.67 · @2.12
2.13Expected goals
1.16Aberdeen xG
0.97Motherwell xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.2 – 1.0 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Motherwell 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–0 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Aberdeen vs Motherwell (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
