CD Motagua vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 February the Liga Nacional brings CD Motagua against CD Marathon at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 1.3 xG, CD Marathon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 38%, draw 29%, CD Marathon 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Motagua38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
CD Marathon33%fair 3.07 · @2.62
2.42Expected goals
1.33CD Motagua xG
1.08CD Marathon xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.3 – 1.1 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
38%
2.61
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
CD Marathon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
CD Motagua
No recent results on record.
CD Marathon – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and CD Marathon 33%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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