CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 February the Liga Nacional brings CD Olimpia against CD Motagua at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, CD Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Olimpia 1.6 xG, CD Motagua 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Olimpia 50%, draw 26%, CD Motagua 23%.
Lower-risk option: CD Olimpia or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Olimpia or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Olimpia50%fair 1.98 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.20
CD Motagua23%fair 4.34 · @3.55
2.60Expected goals
1.61CD Olimpia xG
0.99CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.6 – 1.0 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✗
50%
1.98
1.95
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
CD Olimpia (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
CD Motagua +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
CD Olimpia to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
CD Olimpia – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Victoria
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Olimpia and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is CD Olimpia or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CD Motagua 23%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
