Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: CD Motagua to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.31
Juticalpa vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 26 February the Liga Nacional brings Juticalpa against CD Motagua at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 0.8 xG, CD Motagua 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 15%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 62%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: CD Motagua to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Motagua or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juticalpa15%fair 6.80 · @3.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
CD Motagua62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
2.91Expected goals
0.80Juticalpa xG
2.11CD Motagua xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 0.8 – 2.1 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
CD Motagua or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
CD Motagua -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
CD Motagua ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Juticalpa – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Platense FC
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Olancho
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 2
WD
23 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juticalpa and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is CD Motagua or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 62%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs CD Motagua?
Juticalpa vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
