Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Victoria to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVictoria to win ✗42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Juticalpa vs Victoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Victoria travel to face Juticalpa on Sunday 1 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Juticalpa, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CD Motagua, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Victoria, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Olancho, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Victoria, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Juticalpa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 1.4 xG, Victoria 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 34%, draw 24%, Victoria 42%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Victoria to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 1–1 Victoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juticalpa34%fair 2.94 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Victoria42%fair 2.38 · @2.85
3.15Expected goals
1.40Juticalpa xG
1.75Victoria xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 1.4 – 1.8 Victoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria to win✗
42%
2.38
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Draw no bet
Victoria (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Juticalpa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Victoria to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoria / FT Victoria✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Juticalpa – last 3
LLL
26 Feb
vs CD Motagua
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Platense FC
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Olancho
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Victoria – last 3
WLW
25 Feb
vs Olancho
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs CD Olimpia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juticalpa and Victoria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Juticalpa vs Victoria?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Victoria 42%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs Victoria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs Victoria?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 1–1 Victoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs Victoria?
Juticalpa vs Victoria (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
