Value bet: Paju Citizen to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJeonnam Dragons to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jeonnam Dragons travel to face Paju Citizen on Saturday 21 March in the K League 2, with Paju Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Paju Citizen are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Jeonnam Dragons are 16th (in the drop zone) with 25.
Current form
Paju Citizen, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ansan Greeners, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Jeonnam Dragons, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Suwon Bluewings, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 1.6 xG, Jeonnam Dragons 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 36%, draw 25%, Jeonnam Dragons 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Paju Citizen to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paju Citizen36%fair 2.76 · @3.45
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.35
Jeonnam Dragons39%fair 2.56 · @2.00
3.02Expected goals
1.59Paju Citizen xG
1.43Jeonnam Dragons xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.6 – 1.4 Jeonnam Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jeonnam Dragons to win✗
39%
2.56
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Jeonnam Dragons (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Jeonnam Dragons +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Paju Citizen to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Paju Citizen – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jeonnam Dragons – last 3
LLW
14 Mar
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–2
L
7 Mar
@ Daegu FC
2–4
L
1 Mar
@ Gyeongnam FC
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Jeonnam Dragons.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Jeonnam Dragons 39%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
