Value bet: Gyeongnam FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 28% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBusan I Park to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceBusan I Park or draw ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.64
Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:30 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Gyeongnam FC v Busan I Park in the K League 2, played at Changwon Football Centre Stadium. In the table, Gyeongnam FC are 9th, upper half, on 38 points after 30 matches; Busan I Park are 5th (upper half) with 48.
Current form
Gyeongnam FC, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ansan Greeners, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Busan I Park, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cheongju, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game.
Momentum favours Busan I Park, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.0 for Gyeongnam FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gyeongnam FC 1.1 xG, Busan I Park 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gyeongnam FC 28%, draw 29%, Busan I Park 43%.
Lower-risk option: Busan I Park or draw (72%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Gyeongnam FC to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Busan I Park. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gyeongnam FC28%fair 3.53 · @3.75
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.10
Busan I Park43%fair 2.32 · @2.00
2.45Expected goals
1.11Gyeongnam FC xG
1.34Busan I Park xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gyeongnam FC 1.1 – 1.3 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
43%
2.32
2.00
Double chance
Busan I Park or draw✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Busan I Park (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Gyeongnam FC +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Busan I Park to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Gyeongnam FC – last 5
DWDLL
28 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Cheongju
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 5
WWWWD
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Daegu FC
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Seongnam FC
1–1
D
2.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gyeongnam FC and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Gyeongnam FC have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Busan I Park 43%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Changwon Football Centre Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
