Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPaju Citizen to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the K League 2 brings Paju Citizen against Gimhae City at Paju Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Paju Citizen are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Gimhae City are 17th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paju Citizen, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Suwon City FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Gimhae City, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Suwon Bluewings, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Paju Citizen, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Gimhae City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 1.6 xG, Gimhae City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 43%, draw 26%, Gimhae City 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 1–1 Gimhae City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paju Citizen43%fair 2.32 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Gimhae City31%fair 3.24 · @2.85
2.68Expected goals
1.55Paju Citizen xG
1.13Gimhae City xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.6 – 1.1 Gimhae City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paju Citizen to win✓
43%
2.32
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Paju Citizen (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Gimhae City +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Paju Citizen to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen✓
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Paju Citizen – last 5
LWWLL
29 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Gimhae City – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Suwon City FC
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Hwaseong
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Ansan Greeners
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Gimhae City.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimhae City 31%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Gimhae City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
