Hwaseong v Jeonnam Dragons Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHwaseong to win ✓46% · @2.65

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Hwaseong v Jeonnam Dragons in the K League 2, played at Hwaseong Stadium. In the table, Hwaseong are 6th, upper half, on 48 points after 31 matches; Jeonnam Dragons are 16th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hwaseong, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Seongnam FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Jeonnam Dragons, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cheonan City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hwaseong 1.7 xG, Jeonnam Dragons 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hwaseong 46%, draw 24%, Jeonnam Dragons 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Hwaseong to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hwaseong 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hwaseong46%fair 2.17 · @2.65

Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20

Jeonnam Dragons30%fair 3.33 · @2.50

2.82Expected goals

1.71Hwaseong xG

1.12Jeonnam Dragons xG

57%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–010%

2–110%

2–09%

0–17%

1–26%

From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.7 – 1.1 Jeonnam Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hwaseong to win ✓	46%	2.17	2.65 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.83
Draw no bet	Hwaseong (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Jeonnam Dragons +1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.18	–
First team to score	Hwaseong to score first ✓	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong ✓	31%	3.20	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.35	–

Hwaseong – last 6

LLDDWL

4 Apr	vs Seongnam FC	1–3	L
28 Mar	@ Asan Mugunghwa	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Yongin City	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Cheonan City	2–2	D
8 Mar	vs Gimhae City	2–0	W
1 Mar	@ Daegu FC	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Jeonnam Dragons – last 5

LLLLW

28 Mar	@ Cheonan City	0–1	L
21 Mar	@ Paju Citizen	0–2	L
14 Mar	@ Suwon Bluewings	0–2	L
7 Mar	@ Daegu FC	2–4	L
1 Mar	@ Gyeongnam FC	4–1	W

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	30	20	6	4	+27	66
2	Suwon City FC	30	17	9	4	+26	60
3	Seoul E-Land FC	30	17	6	7	+19	57
4	Daegu FC	30	16	8	6	+18	56
5	Busan I Park	30	14	6	10	+9	48
6	Hwaseong	31	13	9	9	+12	48
7	Asan Mugunghwa	30	11	10	9	+8	43
8	Gimpo Citizen	30	9	12	9	-2	39
9	Gyeongnam FC	30	9	11	10	-4	38
10	Paju Citizen	30	9	8	13	-6	35
11	Cheonan City	30	7	12	11	-3	33
12	Yongin City	30	7	12	11	-7	33
13	Cheongju	30	6	14	10	-13	32
14	Seongnam FC	30	7	11	12	-8	32
15	Ansan Greeners	31	7	5	19	-24	26
16	Jeonnam Dragons	30	5	10	15	-18	25
17	Gimhae City	30	3	9	18	-34	18

Team

Pts

+27

+26

+19

+18

+12

-2

-4

-6

-3

-7

-13

-8

-24

-18

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

On our numbers Hwaseong have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeonnam Dragons 30%.

How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hwaseong v Jeonnam Dragons: numbers & prediction