Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHwaseong to win ✗38% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hwaseong welcome Gimpo Citizen to Hwaseong Stadium for a K League 2 fixture on Sunday 19 April (08:30 WAT). In the table, Hwaseong are 6th, upper half, on 48 points after 31 matches; Gimpo Citizen are 8th (upper half) with 39.
Current form
Hwaseong, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jeonnam Dragons, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimpo Citizen, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Suwon Bluewings, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gimpo Citizen, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Hwaseong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hwaseong 1.4 xG, Gimpo Citizen 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hwaseong 38%, draw 25%, Gimpo Citizen 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Hwaseong to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hwaseong 1–1 Gimpo Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hwaseong38%fair 2.66 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Gimpo Citizen37%fair 2.70 · @2.15
2.46Expected goals
1.36Hwaseong xG
1.10Gimpo Citizen xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.4 – 1.1 Gimpo Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✗
38%
2.66
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Hwaseong (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Gimpo Citizen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Hwaseong to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Hwaseong – last 6
WLLDDW
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Seongnam FC
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Yongin City
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Cheonan City
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Gimhae City
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimpo Citizen – last 6
WDDLWW
12 Apr
@ Suwon Bluewings
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Daegu FC
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Seongnam FC
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Gyeongnam FC
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Yongin City
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Cheonan City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Gimpo Citizen.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimpo Citizen 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Gimpo Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?
Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
