Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBusan I Park to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.96
Hwaseong vs Busan I Park: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the K League 2 brings Hwaseong against Busan I Park at Hwaseong Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Hwaseong are 6th, upper half, on 48 points after 31 matches; Busan I Park are 5th (upper half) with 48. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hwaseong, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Suwon City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Busan I Park, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cheonan City, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Busan I Park, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Hwaseong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hwaseong 1.3 xG, Busan I Park 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hwaseong 35%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Hwaseong to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hwaseong 1–1 Busan I Park. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hwaseong35%fair 2.90 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Busan I Park38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.26Hwaseong xG
1.19Busan I Park xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.3 – 1.2 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✗
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Busan I Park (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Busan I Park +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Hwaseong to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.96
–
Recent results
Hwaseong – last 6
DWWDWL
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Seongnam FC
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 6
WWWWWW
10 May
vs Cheonan City
1–0
W
3 May
@ Gimhae City
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Suwon City FC
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Yongin City
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Busan I Park 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Hwaseong vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
